Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 15:00 •
Estadio das Seixas
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.35)
0.67 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.1% | 38.0% | 28.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
24.2%
1 - 0
18.0%
0 - 1
16.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Moncarapachense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Malveira | 0 | 24.2% | 16.3% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.0% | 12.1% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atlético Malveira | Moncarapachense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 60% |
| Attack | 100% | 75% |
| Defense | 63% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atlético Malveira | Moncarapachense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 25% | 100% | 57% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 29% | 75% | 33% | 57% |
| Loses | 25% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
Form: Atlético Malveira: DLWWWDW • Moncarapachense: LDWDDDW
League goals
| Metric | Atlético Malveira | Moncarapachense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atlético Malveira | Moncarapachense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 43% | 71% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 14% | 29% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atlético Malveira | Moncarapachense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atlético Malveira | Moncarapachense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atlético Malveira | Moncarapachense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atlético Malveira | Moncarapachense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 57.0% | 43.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Atlético Malveira or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Atlético Malveira = 0.74 (league 1.35), Moncarapachense = 0.67 (league 1.19)
| Moncarapachense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Malveira | 0 | 24.2% | 16.3% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.0% | 12.1% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.1% · Draw 38.0% · Away win 28.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1