Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 15:00 •
Estadio Capitao Josino da Costa
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.30)
4.27 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 10.0% | 10.2% | 53.3% |
best score tips
1 - 4
5.7%
1 - 3
5.4%
2 - 4
5.2%
Score & goals probability table
| FC Alverca II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lagoa | 0 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% |
| 1 | 0.4% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lagoa | FC Alverca II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 90% | 100% |
| Defense | 50% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
92%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lagoa | FC Alverca II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 0% | 25% | 13% | 25% | 50% | 38% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 38% |
| Loses | 50% | 25% | 38% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
Form: Lagoa: LLLDDDDW • FC Alverca II: WDLWDDLW
League goals
| Metric | Lagoa | FC Alverca II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 8 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lagoa | FC Alverca II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 88% | 88% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 50% | 63% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lagoa | FC Alverca II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lagoa | FC Alverca II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lagoa | FC Alverca II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-4 | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-1 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lagoa | FC Alverca II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 28% | 72% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 46.0% | 54.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Lagoa or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lagoa = 1.81 (league 1.30), FC Alverca II = 4.27 (league 1.17)
| FC Alverca II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lagoa | 0 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% |
| 1 | 0.4% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.0% · Draw 10.2% · Away win 53.3%
Vtot 4 , Vtod3