Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 15:00 •
FC Alverca Sports Complex
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.31)
1.18 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.8% | 28.7% | 38.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
| FC Serpa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC Alverca II | 0 | 10.6% | 12.5% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.3% | 13.3% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FC Alverca II | FC Serpa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 53% |
| Attack | 64% | 29% |
| Defense | 50% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FC Alverca II | FC Serpa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 40% | 50% | 45% | 67% | 20% | 45% |
| Draws | 20% | 33% | 27% | 17% | 60% | 36% |
| Loses | 40% | 17% | 27% | 17% | 20% | 18% |
Form: FC Alverca II: WDLWDDLWLWW • FC Serpa: LWWDWDWDDWL
League goals
| Metric | FC Alverca II | FC Serpa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 12 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 7 | 9 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FC Alverca II | FC Serpa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 100% | 82% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 64% | 45% | 27% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 0% | 9% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FC Alverca II | FC Serpa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | FC Alverca II | FC Serpa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | FC Alverca II | FC Serpa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 1-0 | 1-3 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FC Alverca II | FC Serpa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 51.3% | 48.8% |
Advice: Double chance : FC Alverca II or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): FC Alverca II = 1.07 (league 1.31), FC Serpa = 1.18 (league 1.19)
| FC Serpa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC Alverca II | 0 | 10.6% | 12.5% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.3% | 13.3% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.8% · Draw 28.7% · Away win 38.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1