Sat, Jan 10 2026 • 15:00 •
Estádio da Torrinha
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.31)
1.18 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.9% | 30.6% | 46.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
17.5%
0 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
| FC Alverca II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moncarapachense | 0 | 14.8% | 17.5% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.9% | 12.8% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Moncarapachense | FC Alverca II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 67% |
| Attack | 0% | 82% |
| Defense | 73% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Moncarapachense | FC Alverca II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| Wins | 14% | 17% | 15% | 50% | 43% | 46% |
| Draws | 57% | 33% | 46% | 17% | 43% | 31% |
| Loses | 29% | 50% | 38% | 33% | 14% | 23% |
Form: Moncarapachense: LDWDDDWLLDDLL • FC Alverca II: WDLWDDLWLWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Moncarapachense | FC Alverca II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 23 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 19 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Moncarapachense | FC Alverca II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 38% | 69% | 85% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 15% | 8% | 69% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 23% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Moncarapachense | FC Alverca II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Moncarapachense | FC Alverca II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Moncarapachense | FC Alverca II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Moncarapachense | FC Alverca II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 17% | 83% |
| Att | 0% | 100% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 38.3% | 61.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or FC Alverca II and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Moncarapachense = 0.73 (league 1.31), FC Alverca II = 1.18 (league 1.19)
| FC Alverca II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moncarapachense | 0 | 14.8% | 17.5% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.9% | 12.8% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.9% · Draw 30.6% · Away win 46.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1