Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 15:00 •
Campo Domingos Carrilho Patalino
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.31)
1.51 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.4% | 25.7% | 46.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 1
11.1%
1 - 2
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Atlético Malveira | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| O Elvas | 0 | 7.4% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.1% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | O Elvas | Atlético Malveira |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 60% |
| Attack | 64% | 50% |
| Defense | 79% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | O Elvas | Atlético Malveira | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 8 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Wins | 33% | 50% | 43% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 33% | 13% | 21% | 38% | 50% | 43% |
| Loses | 33% | 38% | 36% | 13% | 0% | 7% |
Form: O Elvas: WWLLDLDLLDWWWW • Atlético Malveira: DLWWWDWWDDWDWD
League goals
| Metric | O Elvas | Atlético Malveira | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 10 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 7 | 9 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | O Elvas | Atlético Malveira | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 57% | 86% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 50% | 43% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | O Elvas | Atlético Malveira | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | O Elvas | Atlético Malveira |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | O Elvas | Atlético Malveira |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 2-0 | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | O Elvas | Atlético Malveira |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 55.5% | 44.8% |
Advice: Double chance : O Elvas or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): O Elvas = 1.10 (league 1.31), Atlético Malveira = 1.51 (league 1.19)
| Atlético Malveira | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| O Elvas | 0 | 7.4% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.1% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.4% · Draw 25.7% · Away win 46.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1