Sun, Jan 25 2026 • 15:00 •
Campo da Bela Vista
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.31)
0.98 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.0% | 30.7% | 33.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.8%
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
| FC Serpa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Comércio Indústria | 0 | 13.3% | 13.1% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.8% | 13.5% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.1% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Comércio Indústria | FC Serpa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 20% |
| Attack | 29% | 29% |
| Defense | 41% | 24% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Comércio Indústria | FC Serpa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 7 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 0% | 14% | 7% | 63% | 14% | 40% |
| Draws | 63% | 0% | 33% | 13% | 43% | 27% |
| Loses | 38% | 86% | 60% | 25% | 43% | 33% |
Form: Comércio Indústria: LDLDDWLLLLLLDDL • FC Serpa: LWWDWDWDDWLLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Comércio Indústria | FC Serpa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 10 | 13 | 23 | 7 | 12 | 19 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Comércio Indústria | FC Serpa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 47% | 80% | 80% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 53% | 27% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 20% | 7% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Comércio Indústria | FC Serpa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Comércio Indústria | FC Serpa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Comércio Indústria | FC Serpa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Comércio Indústria | FC Serpa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 13% | 88% |
| Goals | 17% | 83% |
| Total | 38.0% | 62.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or FC Serpa
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Comércio Indústria = 1.04 (league 1.31), FC Serpa = 0.98 (league 1.19)
| FC Serpa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Comércio Indústria | 0 | 13.3% | 13.1% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.8% | 13.5% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.1% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.0% · Draw 30.7% · Away win 33.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1