Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 15:00 •
Estádio Do Algarve
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.31)
0.62 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.0% | 28.5% | 17.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
18.8%
0 - 0
14.1%
2 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Oriental Lisboa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Louletano | 0 | 14.1% | 8.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.8% | 11.7% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.6% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Louletano | Oriental Lisboa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 33% | 33% |
| Defense | 93% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Louletano | Oriental Lisboa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| Wins | 56% | 30% | 42% | 33% | 30% | 32% |
| Draws | 22% | 60% | 42% | 56% | 30% | 42% |
| Loses | 22% | 10% | 16% | 11% | 40% | 26% |
Form: Louletano: WDWWDDDLDWDDLWLWDWW • Oriental Lisboa: WDDLWWDLWLLLWDDDDWD
League goals
| Metric | Louletano | Oriental Lisboa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 10 | 20 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 25 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Louletano | Oriental Lisboa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 32% | 68% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 16% | 42% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 0% | 11% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Louletano | Oriental Lisboa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Louletano | Oriental Lisboa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 75.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 25.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Louletano | Oriental Lisboa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | 0-3 | 6-3 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Louletano | Oriental Lisboa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 78% | 22% |
| Total | 67.7% | 32.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Louletano or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Louletano = 1.34 (league 1.31), Oriental Lisboa = 0.62 (league 1.16)
| Oriental Lisboa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Louletano | 0 | 14.1% | 8.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.8% | 11.7% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.6% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.0% · Draw 28.5% · Away win 17.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1