Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 15:00 • Estádio Do Algarve
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.31) 0.35 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.1% 44.3% 16.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
35.2%
1 - 0
24.4%
0 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Moncarapachense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Louletano 0 35.2% 12.4% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.4% 8.6% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.4% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLouletanoMoncarapachense
Played55
Form100%80%
Attack73%53%
Defense87%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Louletano Moncarapachense
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins64%42%52%33%27%30%
Draws18%50%35%42%36%39%
Loses18%8%13%25%36%30%

Form: Louletano: WDWWDDDLDWDDLWLWDWWWWWW • Moncarapachense: LDWDDDWLLDDLLWDLDDLWWWW

League goals

Metric Louletano Moncarapachense
HATHAT
GF total14152912921
GF avg1.31.31.31.00.80.9
GA total651111819
GA avg0.50.40.50.90.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLouletanoMoncarapachense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%35%61%61%
1.539%13%22%17%
2.517%0%9%4%
3.54%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLouletanoMoncarapachense
HATHAT
Clean sheets7815459
Failed to score358459

Penalties

MetricLouletanoMoncarapachense
Scored (total | %)3 | 75.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 25.00%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricLouletanoMoncarapachense
Wins21
Draws33
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-42-00-3
Biggest losses0-22-11-32-1
Goals For3433
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricLouletanoMoncarapachense
Form56%44%
Att58%42%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total48.2%51.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Moncarapachense and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.67 @ Unibet
Draw3.40 @ Dafabet
Away6.40 @ Dafabet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.70 @ Superbet
No1.57 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.48 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Louletano = 0.69 (league 1.31), Moncarapachense = 0.35 (league 1.14)

Moncarapachense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Louletano 0 35.2% 12.4% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.4% 8.6% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.4% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.1% · Draw 44.3% · Away win 16.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1