Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 15:00 •
Campo Sintético Complexo Desportivo Manuel Baião
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.31)
1.42 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.0% | 24.8% | 36.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 2
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
| FC Alverca II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC Serpa | 0 | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FC Serpa | FC Alverca II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 80% |
| Attack | 29% | 71% |
| Defense | 43% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FC Serpa | FC Alverca II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 58% | 17% | 38% | 58% | 42% | 50% |
| Draws | 17% | 42% | 29% | 8% | 33% | 21% |
| Loses | 25% | 42% | 33% | 33% | 25% | 29% |
Form: FC Serpa: LWWDWDWDDWLLLWLWDDWDWLLL • FC Alverca II: WDLWDDLWLWWWDLWWLLDWWWWL
League goals
| Metric | FC Serpa | FC Alverca II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 13 | 27 | 21 | 22 | 43 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 11 | 20 | 31 | 13 | 19 | 32 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FC Serpa | FC Alverca II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 67% | 83% | 92% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 38% | 67% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 17% | 21% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FC Serpa | FC Alverca II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | FC Serpa | FC Alverca II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | FC Serpa | FC Alverca II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-0 | 0-2 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FC Serpa | FC Alverca II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 33.4% | 66.6% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or FC Alverca II
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): FC Serpa = 1.46 (league 1.31), FC Alverca II = 1.42 (league 1.14)
| FC Alverca II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC Serpa | 0 | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.0% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 36.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1