Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 15:00 •
Estádio da Torrinha
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.31)
1.03 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.3% | 31.3% | 37.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.8%
0 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Juventude Évora | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moncarapachense | 0 | 14.4% | 14.8% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.1% | 13.5% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Moncarapachense | Juventude Évora |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 47% |
| Attack | 50% | 57% |
| Defense | 93% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Moncarapachense | Juventude Évora | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 33% | 25% | 29% | 50% | 33% | 42% |
| Draws | 42% | 33% | 38% | 42% | 42% | 42% |
| Loses | 25% | 42% | 33% | 8% | 25% | 17% |
Form: Moncarapachense: LDWDDDWLLDDLLWDLDDLWWWWL • Juventude Évora: DWWLDWWWDLWWDDWLDWLDDDWD
League goals
| Metric | Moncarapachense | Juventude Évora | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 9 | 21 | 15 | 16 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 11 | 9 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 22 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Moncarapachense | Juventude Évora | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 63% | 79% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 17% | 42% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 4% | 8% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Moncarapachense | Juventude Évora | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Moncarapachense | Juventude Évora |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Moncarapachense | Juventude Évora |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Moncarapachense | Juventude Évora |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 37% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 83% | 17% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 11% | 89% |
| Total | 44.7% | 55.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Moncarapachense or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Moncarapachense = 0.91 (league 1.31), Juventude Évora = 1.03 (league 1.14)
| Juventude Évora | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moncarapachense | 0 | 14.4% | 14.8% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.1% | 13.5% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.3% · Draw 31.3% · Away win 37.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1