Oberliga - Bremen — Germany
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 11:30 • SPA Fritzewiese Platz 1
Not Started

Eiche Horn

—

Aumund-Vegesack

Expected Goals
3.99 (league 2.39) 1.23 (league 1.90)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.1% 8.9% 6.5%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.0%
4 - 1
7.0%
3 - 0
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
Aumund-Vegesack
0 1 2 3 4 5
Eiche Horn 0 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.2% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.3% 5.3% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.8% 7.1% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 5.8% 7.0% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
5 4.6% 5.6% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Eiche Horn carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 187 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Eiche Horn +11.2, Aumund-Vegesack +41.3.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Eiche Horn Elo 1618.4 · +11.2
vs
Aumund-Vegesack Elo 1466.5 · +41.3
Elo gapEiche Horn +187
Home / draw / away61% / 18% / 21%
Expected home share75%
Combined Elo3084.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3084.9
Elo home share 75%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Eiche Horn Aumund-Vegesack
Overall Elo1618.41466.5
Form Elo1618.81468
Home / Away Elo1549.21455
Attack Elo1575.41635
Defense Elo1647.11286.9
Last 5 Elo change+11.2+41.3

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Eiche Horn last-5 Elo change: +11.2; Aumund-Vegesack last-5 Elo change: +41.3.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEiche HornAumund-Vegesack
Played55
Form60%80%
Attack42%77%
Defense62%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.220 | 4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Eiche Horn Aumund-Vegesack
HATHAT
Played111425121325
Wins82%64%72%50%23%36%
Draws9%7%8%8%0%4%
Loses9%29%20%42%77%60%
Eiche HornWWWWWWLDWWDWWWWWLWLWLWWLW
Aumund-VegesackLWWLLLLLDLWLWLWLLLLLWWLWW

League goals

Metric Eiche Horn Aumund-Vegesack
HATHAT
GF total312556232447
GF avg2.81.82.21.91.81.9
GA total141630194463
GA avg1.31.11.21.63.42.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEiche HornAumund-Vegesack
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%64%76%84%
1.568%28%60%68%
2.544%16%24%48%
3.520%12%12%24%
4.54%0%8%16%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEiche HornAumund-Vegesack
HATHAT
Clean sheets369404
Failed to score033426

Penalties

MetricEiche HornAumund-Vegesack
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricEiche HornAumund-Vegesack
Wins62
Draws11
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-47-02-5
Biggest losses2-44-10-48-1
Goals For5475
Goals Against4448

Model comparison

MetricEiche HornAumund-Vegesack
Form43%57%
Att35%65%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h100%0%
Goals79%21%
Total57.0%43.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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