Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 15:30 • Rákóczi Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.18 (league 1.89) 1.86 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.7% 15.6% 19.3%
best score tips
3 - 1
6.4%
2 - 1
6.1%
3 - 2
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
MTK Budapest II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kaposvar 0 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 2.1% 3.8% 3.6% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
2 3.3% 6.1% 5.7% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
3 3.5% 6.4% 6.0% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6%
4 2.8% 5.1% 4.8% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5%
5 1.7% 3.3% 3.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKaposvarMTK Budapest II
Played55
Form80%80%
Attack47%95%
Defense79%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.818 | 3.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kaposvar MTK Budapest II
HATHAT
Played325325
Wins67%100%80%100%50%80%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses33%0%20%0%50%20%

Form: Kaposvar: WWLWW • MTK Budapest II: LWWWW

League goals

Metric Kaposvar MTK Budapest II
HATHAT
GF total63914418
GF avg2.01.51.84.72.03.6
GA total404066
GA avg1.30.00.80.03.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKaposvarMTK Budapest II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%40%80%40%
1.580%20%80%20%
2.50%20%80%20%
3.50%0%60%20%
4.50%0%20%20%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKaposvarMTK Budapest II
HATHAT
Clean sheets123303
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricKaposvarMTK Budapest II
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricKaposvarMTK Budapest II
Wins20
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-27-01-4
Biggest losses2-35-0
Goals For2274
Goals Against3005

Model comparison

MetricKaposvarMTK Budapest II
Form50%50%
Att33%67%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h80%20%
Goals64%36%
Total56.3%43.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Kaposvar or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kaposvar = 3.18 (league 1.89), MTK Budapest II = 1.86 (league 1.40)

MTK Budapest II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kaposvar 0 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 2.1% 3.8% 3.6% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
2 3.3% 6.1% 5.7% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
3 3.5% 6.4% 6.0% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6%
4 2.8% 5.1% 4.8% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5%
5 1.7% 3.3% 3.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.7% · Draw 15.6% · Away win 19.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1