Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 15:00 •
Révész Géza utcai stadion
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.86)
1.00 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.4% | 30.0% | 32.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Pénzügyőr | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Siofok | 0 | 12.3% | 12.3% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.5% | 13.5% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.4% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Siofok carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 140 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Siofok +18.4, Pénzügyőr +20.6.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Siofok
vs
Pénzügyőr
Elo gapSiofok +140
Home / draw / away57% / 18% / 25%
Expected home share69%
Combined Elo2935.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2935.7
Elo home share
69%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Siofok | Pénzügyőr |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1520.2 | 1415.5 |
| Form Elo | 1525.3 | 1417.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1489.9 | 1485.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1606.7 | 1419.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1384.3 | 1363.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +18.4 | +20.6 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Siofok last-5 Elo change: +18.4; Pénzügyőr last-5 Elo change: +20.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Siofok | Pénzügyőr |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 53% |
| Attack | 57% | 64% |
| Defense | 43% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Siofok | Pénzügyőr | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 33% | 31% | 32% | 23% | 8% | 16% |
| Draws | 17% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 42% | 28% |
| Loses | 50% | 54% | 52% | 62% | 50% | 56% |
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PénzügyőrLLLLLDWLLDLWLDLDDLLLWDDLW
League goals
| Metric | Siofok | Pénzügyőr | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 14 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 28 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 21 | 29 | 50 | 29 | 20 | 49 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Siofok | Pénzügyőr | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 88% | 60% | 96% |
| 1.5 | 28% | 44% | 32% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 32% | 16% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 20% | 4% | 16% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 12% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Siofok | Pénzügyőr | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Siofok | Pénzügyőr |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Siofok | Pénzügyőr |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 5-0 | 0-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Siofok | Pénzügyőr |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 53.4% | 46.6% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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