Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 15:00 • Perutz-stadion
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.85 (league 1.73) 1.59 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.0% 22.3% 32.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.4%
2 - 1
8.7%
1 - 2
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
SC Sopron
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pápai Perutz 0 3.2% 5.1% 4.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
1 5.9% 9.4% 7.5% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.5% 8.7% 6.9% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
3 3.4% 5.4% 4.3% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.6% 2.5% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Pápai Perutz -0.6, SC Sopron -11.7.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone
Pápai Perutz Elo 1390.5 · -0.6
vs
SC Sopron Elo 1437.2 · -11.7
Elo gapSC Sopron +12
Home / draw / away34% / 29% / 37%
Expected home share48%
Combined Elo2827.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band Thin confidence
Upset risk High
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2827.7
Elo home share 48%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Pápai Perutz SC Sopron
Overall Elo1390.51437.2
Form Elo1375.61415.6
Home / Away Elo1467.41464.3
Attack Elo1546.21467.3
Defense Elo1149.41408.6
Last 5 Elo change-0.6-11.7

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Pápai Perutz last-5 Elo change: -0.6; SC Sopron last-5 Elo change: -11.7.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPápai PerutzSC Sopron
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack37%33%
Defense22%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)21 | 4.212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pápai Perutz SC Sopron
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins25%15%20%38%25%32%
Draws17%8%12%23%25%24%
Loses58%77%68%38%50%44%
Pápai PerutzWLLDLWLLWLLLLDLDLLLLWLLWL
SC SopronLWWDLLWWWLWDDWLLDLLLDDLLW

League goals

Metric Pápai Perutz SC Sopron
HATHAT
GF total192140211435
GF avg1.61.61.61.61.21.4
GA total235174222446
GA avg1.93.93.01.72.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePápai PerutzSC Sopron
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%96%76%76%
1.548%76%28%52%
2.528%48%28%32%
3.54%28%8%24%
4.54%16%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPápai PerutzSC Sopron
HATHAT
Clean sheets101336
Failed to score437156

Penalties

MetricPápai PerutzSC Sopron
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricPápai PerutzSC Sopron
Wins13
Draws12
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-11-34-00-4
Biggest losses0-49-01-44-0
Goals For6344
Goals Against4944

Model comparison

MetricPápai PerutzSC Sopron
Form55%45%
Att53%47%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h64%36%
Goals55%45%
Total53.0%47.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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