Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 11:00 •
Tarpa Sportcentrum
Expected Goals
2.67 (league 1.79)
2.07 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.0% | 18.2% | 28.5% |
best score tips
2 - 2
6.7%
2 - 1
6.5%
3 - 2
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Debrecen II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tarpa | 0 | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tarpa | Debrecen II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 40% |
| Attack | 45% | 55% |
| Defense | 82% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
71%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tarpa | Debrecen II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| Wins | 75% | 40% | 56% | 0% | 33% | 22% |
| Draws | 25% | 20% | 22% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 40% | 22% | 67% | 33% | 44% |
Form: Tarpa: DDLWLWWWW • Debrecen II: LLWLDDDLW
League goals
| Metric | Tarpa | Debrecen II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 4 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
| GF avg | 2.8 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 5 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tarpa | Debrecen II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 56% | 78% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 33% | 44% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 0% | 33% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tarpa | Debrecen II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tarpa | Debrecen II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tarpa | Debrecen II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | 0-2 | — | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tarpa | Debrecen II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 58.8% | 41.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Tarpa or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tarpa = 2.67 (league 1.79), Debrecen II = 2.07 (league 1.44)
| Debrecen II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tarpa | 0 | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.0% · Draw 18.2% · Away win 28.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1