Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 09:00 •
DVTK Edzőcentrum Füves Edzőpálya
Expected Goals
2.34 (league 1.77)
2.33 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.4% | 19.0% | 37.3% |
best score tips
2 - 2
7.0%
2 - 1
6.0%
1 - 2
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Nyiregyhaza II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Diósgyőr II | 0 | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Diósgyőr II carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 59 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Diósgyőr II +33.0, Nyiregyhaza II +18.6.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Diósgyőr II
vs
Nyiregyhaza II
Elo gapDiósgyőr II +59
Home / draw / away45% / 23% / 32%
Expected home share58%
Combined Elo2993.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2993.9
Elo home share
58%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Diósgyőr II | Nyiregyhaza II |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1509 | 1484.9 |
| Form Elo | 1521.7 | 1515.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1510 | 1466.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1552.9 | 1673.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1461.3 | 1442.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +33.0 | +18.6 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Diósgyőr II last-5 Elo change: +33.0; Nyiregyhaza II last-5 Elo change: +18.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Diósgyőr II | Nyiregyhaza II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 60% |
| Attack | 79% | 86% |
| Defense | 57% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
75%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Diósgyőr II | Nyiregyhaza II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| Wins | 33% | 46% | 40% | 43% | 27% | 36% |
| Draws | 33% | 8% | 20% | 21% | 9% | 16% |
| Loses | 33% | 46% | 40% | 36% | 64% | 48% |
Diósgyőr IIDLLLWDLLWWWLLWWWDLLDLWDWW
Nyiregyhaza IIDLLWLLDLWWLLLDLDLWWWLLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Diósgyőr II | Nyiregyhaza II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 20 | 42 | 28 | 22 | 50 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 20 | 23 | 43 | 19 | 25 | 44 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Diósgyőr II | Nyiregyhaza II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 80% | 76% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 52% | 48% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 24% | 24% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 12% | 20% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 4% | 12% | 12% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Diósgyőr II | Nyiregyhaza II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Diósgyőr II | Nyiregyhaza II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Diósgyőr II | Nyiregyhaza II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 3-6 | 6-0 | 1-8 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 5-0 | 0-2 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Diósgyőr II | Nyiregyhaza II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 48% | 52% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 51.5% | 48.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…