Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 15:00 •
Népkert-Sporttelep
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.77)
4.42 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.6% | 6.0% | 62.0% |
best score tips
1 - 4
7.0%
0 - 4
6.9%
1 - 3
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Debrecen II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC Hatvan | 0 | 0.4% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% |
| 1 | 0.4% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Debrecen II carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 219 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: FC Hatvan +6.5, Debrecen II +7.3.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
FC Hatvan
vs
Debrecen II
Elo gapDebrecen II +219
Home / draw / away18% / 18% / 64%
Expected home share22%
Combined Elo2945.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2945.8
Elo home share
22%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | FC Hatvan | Debrecen II |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1346.1 | 1599.7 |
| Form Elo | 1334.5 | 1611.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1423.5 | 1541.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1434 | 1663.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1212.7 | 1556.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +6.5 | +7.3 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. FC Hatvan last-5 Elo change: +6.5; Debrecen II last-5 Elo change: +7.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FC Hatvan | Debrecen II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 21% | 79% |
| Defense | 7% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
76%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FC Hatvan | Debrecen II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 17% | 15% | 16% | 54% | 50% | 52% |
| Draws | 0% | 8% | 4% | 31% | 25% | 28% |
| Loses | 83% | 77% | 80% | 15% | 25% | 20% |
FC HatvanDLLLWLLLLWLLLLLLLLLLLWWLL
Debrecen IILLWLDDDLWDWWWWWWDDWWWWLWD
League goals
| Metric | FC Hatvan | Debrecen II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 15 | 29 | 25 | 28 | 53 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 34 | 35 | 69 | 13 | 18 | 31 |
| GA avg | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FC Hatvan | Debrecen II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 92% | 84% | 68% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 80% | 52% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 64% | 44% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 24% | 16% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 12% | 12% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FC Hatvan | Debrecen II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | FC Hatvan | Debrecen II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | FC Hatvan | Debrecen II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-4 | 5-1 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-6 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FC Hatvan | Debrecen II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 21% | 79% |
| Def | 32% | 68% |
| Poisson Distribution | 18% | 82% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 22% | 78% |
| Total | 26.7% | 73.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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