Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 14:00 • Stadiumi Liri Ballabani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.26) 0.70 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.2% 24.9% 16.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.1%
2 - 0
12.8%
1 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Besa Kavajë
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burreli 0 10.1% 7.1% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.1% 11.3% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.8% 9.0% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.8% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurreliBesa Kavajë
Played33
Form44%22%
Attack33%33%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.72 | 0.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 13 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

39%
FT probability

2.5+

27%
FT probability

3.5+

19%
FT probability

BTTS

35%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burreli Besa Kavajë
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%0%33%0%0%0%
Draws0%50%33%50%100%67%
Loses0%50%33%50%0%33%

Form: Burreli: LWD • Besa Kavajë: DDL

League goals

Metric Burreli Besa Kavajë
HATHAT
GF total202202
GF avg2.00.00.71.00.00.7
GA total033303
GA avg0.01.51.01.50.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurreliBesa Kavajë
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%33%67%67%
1.533%33%0%33%
2.50%33%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurreliBesa Kavajë
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricBurreliBesa Kavajë
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBurreliBesa Kavajë
Wins10
Draws02
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0
Biggest losses3-01-2
Goals For2010
Goals Against0320

Model comparison

MetricBurreliBesa Kavajë
Form67%33%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h25%75%
Goals17%83%
Total41.8%58.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Besa Kavajë and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.21 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ William Hill
Away2.27 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ Marathonbet
No1.62 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.63 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.56 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Burreli = 1.59 (league 1.26), Besa Kavajë = 0.70 (league 1.00)

Besa Kavajë
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burreli 0 10.1% 7.1% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.1% 11.3% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.8% 9.0% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.8% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.2% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 16.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1