Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Stadiumi Loni Papuçiu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.26) 1.00 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.6% 25.1% 23.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.9%
1 - 1
11.9%
2 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Kastrioti Krujë
0 1 2 3 4 5
Apolonia Fier 0 7.5% 7.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.9% 11.9% 6.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.5% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.0% 5.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricApolonia FierKastrioti Krujë
Played33
Form44%22%
Attack57%29%
Defense43%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 1.32 | 0.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 1.34 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Apolonia Fier Kastrioti Krujë
HATHAT
Played123123
Wins0%50%33%0%0%0%
Draws100%0%33%100%50%67%
Loses0%50%33%0%50%33%

Form: Apolonia Fier: LDW • Kastrioti Krujë: DLD

League goals

Metric Apolonia Fier Kastrioti Krujë
HATHAT
GF total134022
GF avg1.01.51.30.01.00.7
GA total134044
GA avg1.01.51.30.02.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineApolonia FierKastrioti Krujë
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%67%67%
1.533%33%0%33%
2.50%0%0%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricApolonia FierKastrioti Krujë
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricApolonia FierKastrioti Krujë
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricApolonia FierKastrioti Krujë
Wins00
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-2
Biggest losses2-13-1
Goals For1201
Goals Against1203

Model comparison

MetricApolonia FierKastrioti Krujë
Form67%33%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total56.8%43.2%

Advice: Double chance : Apolonia Fier or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ 1xBet
Draw3.10 @ Pinnacle
Away3.85 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.63 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ 1xBet
No2.34 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Apolonia Fier = 1.59 (league 1.26), Kastrioti Krujë = 1.00 (league 1.00)

Kastrioti Krujë
0 1 2 3 4 5
Apolonia Fier 0 7.5% 7.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.9% 11.9% 6.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.5% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.0% 5.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.6% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 23.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1