Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 12:00 • Stadiumi Redi Maloku
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.26) 0.35 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.9% 48.6% 18.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
40.4%
1 - 0
22.5%
0 - 1
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
Besa Kavajë
0 1 2 3 4 5
Iliria Fushë-Krujë 0 40.4% 14.1% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.5% 7.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIliria Fushë-KrujëBesa Kavajë
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack29%29%
Defense64%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

48%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Iliria Fushë-Krujë Besa Kavajë
HATHAT
Played325325
Wins33%50%40%0%0%0%
Draws33%0%20%67%50%60%
Loses33%50%40%33%50%40%

Form: Iliria Fushë-Krujë: LDLWW • Besa Kavajë: DDLLD

League goals

Metric Iliria Fushë-Krujë Besa Kavajë
HATHAT
GF total224314
GF avg0.71.00.81.00.50.8
GA total235426
GA avg0.71.51.01.31.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIliria Fushë-KrujëBesa Kavajë
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%60%80%80%
1.520%40%0%40%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIliria Fushë-KrujëBesa Kavajë
HATHAT
Clean sheets202011
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricIliria Fushë-KrujëBesa Kavajë
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricIliria Fushë-KrujëBesa Kavajë
Wins00
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-2
Biggest losses1-22-01-22-1
Goals For1211
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricIliria Fushë-KrujëBesa Kavajë
Form70%30%
Att50%50%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h38%62%
Goals33%67%
Total50.7%49.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Besa Kavajë and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.56 @ 1xBet
Draw3.45 @ 1xBet
Away3.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.55 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ 1xBet
No1.73 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Iliria Fushë-Krujë = 0.56 (league 1.26), Besa Kavajë = 0.35 (league 1.00)

Besa Kavajë
0 1 2 3 4 5
Iliria Fushë-Krujë 0 40.4% 14.1% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.5% 7.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.9% · Draw 48.6% · Away win 18.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1