Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 12:00 • Stadiumi Gjorgji Kyçyku
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.23 (league 1.31) 0.31 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.6% 62.7% 21.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
58.6%
0 - 1
17.9%
1 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Luftëtari
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pogradeci 0 58.6% 17.9% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.4% 4.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPogradeciLuftëtari
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack40%40%
Defense80%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

40%
FT probability

2.5+

28%
FT probability

3.5+

20%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pogradeci Luftëtari
HATHAT
Played325325
Wins33%50%40%0%0%0%
Draws33%50%40%67%100%80%
Loses33%0%20%33%0%20%

Form: Pogradeci: DDWLW • Luftëtari: DDDDL

League goals

Metric Pogradeci Luftëtari
HATHAT
GF total134224
GF avg0.31.50.80.71.00.8
GA total112325
GA avg0.30.50.41.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePogradeciLuftëtari
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%40%80%80%
1.520%0%0%20%
2.520%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPogradeciLuftëtari
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score213101

Penalties

MetricPogradeciLuftëtari
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPogradeciLuftëtari
Wins10
Draws24
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-3
Biggest losses0-11-2
Goals For1311
Goals Against1121

Model comparison

MetricPogradeciLuftëtari
Form67%33%
Att50%50%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h93%7%
Goals89%11%
Total68.2%31.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Pogradeci or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.38 @ Bet365
Draw3.92 @ Marathonbet
Away11.60 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.52 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.42 @ Marathonbet
No1.26 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pogradeci = 0.23 (league 1.31), Luftëtari = 0.31 (league 0.98)

Luftëtari
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pogradeci 0 58.6% 17.9% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.4% 4.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.6% · Draw 62.7% · Away win 21.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1