1st Division — Albania
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 12:00 • Stadiumi Liri Ballabani
Match Finished

Burreli

0 - 3

Korabi Peshkopi

Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.30) 0.15 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.1% 23.0% 3.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
28.4%
2 - 0
21.8%
0 - 0
18.4%
Score & goals probability table
Korabi Peshkopi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burreli 0 18.4% 2.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.4% 4.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.8% 3.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.2% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurreliKorabi Peshkopi
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack36%7%
Defense64%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

47%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burreli Korabi Peshkopi
HATHAT
Played235235
Wins100%0%40%0%0%0%
Draws0%67%40%100%67%80%
Loses0%33%20%0%33%20%

Form: Burreli: LWDWD • Korabi Peshkopi: DDDLD

League goals

Metric Burreli Korabi Peshkopi
HATHAT
GF total415011
GF avg2.00.31.00.00.30.2
GA total145033
GA avg0.51.31.00.01.00.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurreliKorabi Peshkopi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%60%20%40%
1.540%20%0%20%
2.50%20%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurreliKorabi Peshkopi
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score022224

Penalties

MetricBurreliKorabi Peshkopi
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricBurreliKorabi Peshkopi
Wins10
Draws13
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0———
Biggest losses—3-0—2-0
Goals For2101
Goals Against1302

Model comparison

MetricBurreliKorabi Peshkopi
Form67%33%
Att83%17%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h62%38%
Goals56%44%
Total65.8%34.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Burreli or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Bet365
Draw2.75 @ Bet365
Away3.25 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Burreli vs Korabi Peshkopi

Expected goals (λ): Burreli = 1.54 (league 1.30), Korabi Peshkopi = 0.15 (league 0.98)

Korabi Peshkopi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burreli 0 18.4% 2.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.4% 4.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.8% 3.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.2% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.1% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 3.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1