Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 12:00 • Stadiumi Luz i Vogël
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.40 (league 1.26) 1.95 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.6% 18.5% 73.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.6%
0 - 2
18.2%
0 - 3
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Pogradeci
0 1 2 3 4 5
Besa Kavajë 0 9.6% 18.6% 18.2% 11.8% 5.8% 2.2%
1 3.8% 7.4% 7.2% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
2 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBesa KavajëPogradeci
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack21%32%
Defense63%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Besa Kavajë Pogradeci
HATHAT
Played336426
Wins0%0%0%25%50%33%
Draws67%33%50%25%50%33%
Loses33%67%50%50%0%33%

Form: Besa Kavajë: DDLLDL • Pogradeci: DDWLWL

League goals

Metric Besa Kavajë Pogradeci
HATHAT
GF total325336
GF avg1.00.70.80.81.51.0
GA total448415
GA avg1.31.31.31.00.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBesa KavajëPogradeci
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%50%50%
1.50%50%33%17%
2.50%0%17%17%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBesa KavajëPogradeci
HATHAT
Clean sheets011213
Failed to score011213

Penalties

MetricBesa KavajëPogradeci
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBesa KavajëPogradeci
Wins01
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-3
Biggest losses1-22-12-3
Goals For1123
Goals Against2231

Model comparison

MetricBesa KavajëPogradeci
Form22%78%
Att40%60%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution15%85%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total35.3%64.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Pogradeci

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.37 @ 1xBet
Draw2.85 @ Dafabet
Away3.35 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.09 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.47 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Marathonbet
No1.51 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Besa Kavajë = 0.40 (league 1.26), Pogradeci = 1.95 (league 1.00)

Pogradeci
0 1 2 3 4 5
Besa Kavajë 0 9.6% 18.6% 18.2% 11.8% 5.8% 2.2%
1 3.8% 7.4% 7.2% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
2 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.6% · Draw 18.5% · Away win 73.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1