Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 12:00 • Stadiumi Loni Papuciu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.26) 0.15 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.5% 22.7% 3.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
28.3%
2 - 0
22.0%
0 - 0
18.2%
Score & goals probability table
Burreli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Apolonia Fier 0 18.2% 2.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.3% 4.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.0% 3.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.4% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricApolonia FierBurreli
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack32%26%
Defense84%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Apolonia Fier Burreli
HATHAT
Played246336
Wins50%25%33%67%0%33%
Draws50%50%50%0%67%33%
Loses0%25%17%33%33%33%

Form: Apolonia Fier: LDWWDD • Burreli: LWDWDL

League goals

Metric Apolonia Fier Burreli
HATHAT
GF total347415
GF avg1.51.01.21.30.30.8
GA total145448
GA avg0.51.00.81.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineApolonia FierBurreli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%50%67%
1.533%17%33%33%
2.50%0%0%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricApolonia FierBurreli
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricApolonia FierBurreli
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricApolonia FierBurreli
Wins21
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-22-0
Biggest losses2-10-33-0
Goals For2221
Goals Against1233

Model comparison

MetricApolonia FierBurreli
Form53%47%
Att55%45%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h62%38%
Goals60%40%
Total63.7%36.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Apolonia Fier or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Betano
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.99 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ Marathonbet
No1.60 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Apolonia Fier = 1.55 (league 1.26), Burreli = 0.15 (league 1.00)

Burreli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Apolonia Fier 0 18.2% 2.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.3% 4.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.0% 3.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.4% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.5% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 3.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1