Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 12:00 • Stadiumi Gjorgji Kyçyku
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.31) 1.02 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.4% 26.9% 27.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
12.4%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Kastrioti Krujë
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pogradeci 0 8.8% 9.0% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.4% 12.7% 6.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.7% 8.9% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPogradeciKastrioti Krujë
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack64%36%
Defense45%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pogradeci Kastrioti Krujë
HATHAT
Played437347
Wins25%33%29%0%0%0%
Draws25%67%43%100%25%57%
Loses50%0%29%0%75%43%

Form: Pogradeci: DDWLWLD • Kastrioti Krujë: DLDLDLD

League goals

Metric Pogradeci Kastrioti Krujë
HATHAT
GF total347246
GF avg0.81.31.00.71.00.9
GA total4262911
GA avg1.00.70.90.72.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePogradeciKastrioti Krujë
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%57%71%86%
1.529%14%14%43%
2.514%14%0%29%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPogradeciKastrioti Krujë
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score213112

Penalties

MetricPogradeciKastrioti Krujë
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPogradeciKastrioti Krujë
Wins10
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-3
Biggest losses2-33-1
Goals For2312
Goals Against3113

Model comparison

MetricPogradeciKastrioti Krujë
Form70%30%
Att64%36%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h38%62%
Goals33%67%
Total52.7%47.3%

Advice: Double chance : Pogradeci or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.30 @ 1xBet
Draw5.00 @ Betano
Away11.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.77 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.60 @ 1xBet
No1.47 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pogradeci = 1.40 (league 1.31), Kastrioti Krujë = 1.02 (league 0.98)

Kastrioti Krujë
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pogradeci 0 8.8% 9.0% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.4% 12.7% 6.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.7% 8.9% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.4% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 27.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1