Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 12:00 • Stadiumi Gjorgji Kyçyku
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.26) 1.00 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.5% 26.3% 25.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.5%
1 - 1
12.5%
2 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Kastrioti Krujë
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pogradeci 0 8.5% 8.5% 4.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.5% 12.5% 6.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.1% 9.1% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.5% 4.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPogradeciKastrioti Krujë
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack58%33%
Defense50%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pogradeci Kastrioti Krujë
HATHAT
Played426246
Wins25%50%33%0%0%0%
Draws25%50%33%100%25%50%
Loses50%0%33%0%75%50%

Form: Pogradeci: DDWLWL • Kastrioti Krujë: DLDLDL

League goals

Metric Pogradeci Kastrioti Krujë
HATHAT
GF total336145
GF avg0.81.51.00.51.00.8
GA total4151910
GA avg1.00.50.80.52.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePogradeciKastrioti Krujë
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%67%83%
1.533%17%17%50%
2.517%17%0%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPogradeciKastrioti Krujë
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score213112

Penalties

MetricPogradeciKastrioti Krujë
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPogradeciKastrioti Krujë
Wins10
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-3
Biggest losses2-33-1
Goals For2312
Goals Against3113

Model comparison

MetricPogradeciKastrioti Krujë
Form70%30%
Att64%36%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h38%62%
Goals33%67%
Total52.7%47.3%

Advice: Double chance : Pogradeci or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pogradeci = 1.46 (league 1.26), Kastrioti Krujë = 1.00 (league 1.00)

Kastrioti Krujë
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pogradeci 0 8.5% 8.5% 4.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.5% 12.5% 6.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.1% 9.1% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.5% 4.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.5% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 25.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1