Mon, Nov 3 2025 • 13:00 • Stadiumi Gjorgji Kyçyku
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.85 (league 1.31) 0.82 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.8% 34.4% 31.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.8%
1 - 0
16.1%
0 - 1
15.4%
Score & goals probability table
Apolonia Fier
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pogradeci 0 18.8% 15.4% 6.3% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.1% 13.1% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
2 6.9% 5.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPogradeciApolonia Fier
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack100%25%
Defense50%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pogradeci Apolonia Fier
HATHAT
Played549459
Wins40%50%44%25%40%33%
Draws20%50%33%50%40%44%
Loses40%0%22%25%20%22%

Form: Pogradeci: DDWLWLDWW • Apolonia Fier: LDWWDDLWD

League goals

Metric Pogradeci Apolonia Fier
HATHAT
GF total7613459
GF avg1.41.51.41.01.01.0
GA total437347
GA avg0.80.80.80.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePogradeciApolonia Fier
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%56%78%56%
1.544%11%22%22%
2.522%11%0%0%
3.511%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPogradeciApolonia Fier
HATHAT
Clean sheets314224
Failed to score213112

Penalties

MetricPogradeciApolonia Fier
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricPogradeciApolonia Fier
Wins12
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-32-01-2
Biggest losses2-3—1-22-1
Goals For4322
Goals Against3122

Model comparison

MetricPogradeciApolonia Fier
Form63%38%
Att80%20%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total56.2%44.0%

Advice: Double chance : Pogradeci or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.67 @ 1xBet
Draw3.36 @ 1xBet
Away6.28 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ William Hill
No1.65 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.57 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pogradeci = 0.85 (league 1.31), Apolonia Fier = 0.82 (league 0.98)

Apolonia Fier
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pogradeci 0 18.8% 15.4% 6.3% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.1% 13.1% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
2 6.9% 5.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.8% · Draw 34.4% · Away win 31.7%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1