Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 12:30 • Stadiumi Roza Haxhiu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.34) 1.22 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.2% 29.3% 43.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.7%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Pogradeci
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lushnja 0 12.1% 14.7% 8.9% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.9% 13.2% 8.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 4.9% 5.9% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLushnjaPogradeci
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack18%73%
Defense55%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lushnja Pogradeci
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins40%0%18%50%40%45%
Draws40%67%55%17%40%27%
Loses20%33%27%33%20%27%

Form: Lushnja: DDDDDWLLDLW • Pogradeci: DDWLWLDWWWL

League goals

Metric Lushnja Pogradeci
HATHAT
GF total6398614
GF avg1.20.50.81.31.21.3
GA total5611459
GA avg1.01.01.00.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLushnjaPogradeci
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%73%64%55%
1.59%27%36%18%
2.59%0%18%9%
3.50%0%9%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLushnjaPogradeci
HATHAT
Clean sheets123415
Failed to score134224

Penalties

MetricLushnjaPogradeci
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLushnjaPogradeci
Wins13
Draws52
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-2—4-01-3
Biggest losses0-12-02-32-0
Goals For3143
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricLushnjaPogradeci
Form29%71%
Att20%80%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total39.0%61.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Pogradeci

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lushnja = 0.90 (league 1.34), Pogradeci = 1.22 (league 0.99)

Pogradeci
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lushnja 0 12.1% 14.7% 8.9% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.9% 13.2% 8.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 4.9% 5.9% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.2% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 43.2%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1