Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 12:30 • Stadiumi Gjorgji Kyçyku
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.30) 0.48 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.5% 35.0% 17.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.7%
0 - 0
22.7%
2 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pogradeci 0 22.7% 10.9% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.7% 10.9% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.4% 5.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPogradeciIliria Fushë-Krujë
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack47%26%
Defense79%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pogradeci Iliria Fushë-Krujë
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins50%50%50%50%17%33%
Draws17%33%25%33%50%42%
Loses33%17%25%17%33%25%

Form: Pogradeci: DDWLWLDWWWLW • Iliria Fushë-Krujë: LDLWWWDWDDLD

League goals

Metric Pogradeci Iliria Fushë-Krujë
HATHAT
GF total88168412
GF avg1.31.31.31.30.71.0
GA total46106612
GA avg0.71.00.81.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePogradeciIliria Fushë-Krujë
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%58%67%75%
1.542%17%33%25%
2.517%8%0%0%
3.58%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPogradeciIliria Fushë-Krujë
HATHAT
Clean sheets415213
Failed to score224134

Penalties

MetricPogradeciIliria Fushë-Krujë
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPogradeciIliria Fushë-Krujë
Wins33
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-32-11-2
Biggest losses2-32-01-22-0
Goals For4322
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricPogradeciIliria Fushë-Krujë
Form67%33%
Att64%36%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h38%62%
Goals60%40%
Total58.8%41.2%

Advice: Double chance : Pogradeci or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ Betano
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away6.53 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ Marathonbet
No1.60 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pogradeci = 1.00 (league 1.30), Iliria Fushë-Krujë = 0.48 (league 1.02)

Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pogradeci 0 22.7% 10.9% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.7% 10.9% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.4% 5.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.5% · Draw 35.0% · Away win 17.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1