Wed, Dec 3 2025 • 12:30 • Stadiumi Loni Papuciu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.30) 0.79 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.5% 28.7% 22.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.1%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Besa Kavajë
0 1 2 3 4 5
Apolonia Fier 0 12.4% 9.7% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.1% 12.7% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.5% 8.3% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.6% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricApolonia FierBesa Kavajë
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack40%60%
Defense73%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Apolonia Fier Besa Kavajë
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%43%38%29%17%23%
Draws33%29%31%57%17%38%
Loses33%29%31%14%67%38%

Form: Apolonia Fier: LDWWDDLWDLLWW • Besa Kavajë: DDLLDLDLWWDLW

League goals

Metric Apolonia Fier Besa Kavajë
HATHAT
GF total871510515
GF avg1.31.01.21.40.81.2
GA total65117815
GA avg1.00.70.81.01.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineApolonia FierBesa Kavajë
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%54%77%85%
1.538%23%23%31%
2.50%8%15%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricApolonia FierBesa Kavajë
HATHAT
Clean sheets336112
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricApolonia FierBesa Kavajë
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricApolonia FierBesa Kavajë
Wins22
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-11-2
Biggest losses2-32-11-22-1
Goals For2232
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricApolonia FierBesa Kavajë
Form41%59%
Att40%60%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total49.5%50.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Besa Kavajë

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ William Hill
Draw3.02 @ Pinnacle
Away3.04 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ William Hill
No1.74 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Apolonia Fier = 1.30 (league 1.30), Besa Kavajë = 0.79 (league 1.02)

Besa Kavajë
0 1 2 3 4 5
Apolonia Fier 0 12.4% 9.7% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.1% 12.7% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.5% 8.3% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.6% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.5% · Draw 28.7% · Away win 22.5%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1