Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 14:30 • Stadiumi Skënderbeu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.30) 0.76 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.4% 24.1% 16.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
2 - 0
12.3%
1 - 1
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Pogradeci
0 1 2 3 4 5
Skenderbeu Korce 0 8.9% 6.7% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.8% 11.2% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.3% 9.3% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.8% 5.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSkenderbeu KorcePogradeci
Played55
Form80%53%
Attack100%43%
Defense0%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Skenderbeu Korce Pogradeci
HATHAT
Played76137714
Wins100%67%85%43%43%43%
Draws0%17%8%29%43%36%
Loses0%17%8%29%14%21%

Form: Skenderbeu Korce: WDWWWWWWLWWWW • Pogradeci: DDWLWLDWWWLWDD

League goals

Metric Skenderbeu Korce Pogradeci
HATHAT
GF total1710278816
GF avg2.41.72.11.11.11.1
GA total57124610
GA avg0.71.20.90.60.90.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSkenderbeu KorcePogradeci
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%46%57%50%
1.562%31%36%14%
2.538%15%14%7%
3.58%0%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSkenderbeu KorcePogradeci
HATHAT
Clean sheets527527
Failed to score000336

Penalties

MetricSkenderbeu KorcePogradeci
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSkenderbeu KorcePogradeci
Wins63
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-34-01-3
Biggest losses—3-22-32-0
Goals For4343
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricSkenderbeu KorcePogradeci
Form60%40%
Att82%18%
Def21%79%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h100%0%
Goals91%9%
Total63.8%36.2%

Advice: Winner : Skenderbeu Korce

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.30 @ Bet365
Draw4.45 @ Marathonbet
Away11.30 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.62 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.88 @ Marathonbet
No1.35 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Skenderbeu Korce = 1.67 (league 1.30), Pogradeci = 0.76 (league 1.02)

Pogradeci
0 1 2 3 4 5
Skenderbeu Korce 0 8.9% 6.7% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.8% 11.2% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.3% 9.3% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.8% 5.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.4% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 16.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1