Mon, Dec 8 2025 • 12:30 • Stadiumi Luz i Vogël
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.05 (league 1.30) 0.69 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.4% 19.4% 11.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.6%
1 - 0
13.3%
2 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Burreli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Besa Kavajë 0 6.5% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.3% 9.1% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.6% 9.4% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.3% 6.4% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.8% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBesa KavajëBurreli
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack60%60%
Defense40%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Besa Kavajë Burreli
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins29%14%21%57%14%36%
Draws57%14%36%14%43%29%
Loses14%71%43%29%43%36%

Form: Besa Kavajë: DDLLDLDLWWDLWL • Burreli: LWDWDLWLDDWLLW

League goals

Metric Besa Kavajë Burreli
HATHAT
GF total105158513
GF avg1.40.71.11.10.70.9
GA total7101761319
GA avg1.01.41.20.91.91.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBesa KavajëBurreli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%86%57%64%
1.521%36%36%43%
2.514%0%0%21%
3.50%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBesa KavajëBurreli
HATHAT
Clean sheets112415
Failed to score134246

Penalties

MetricBesa KavajëBurreli
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricBesa KavajëBurreli
Wins21
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-22-01-2
Biggest losses1-22-00-34-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against2234

Model comparison

MetricBesa KavajëBurreli
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h62%38%
Goals67%33%
Total58.7%41.3%

Advice: Double chance : Besa Kavajë or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ William Hill
Draw4.00 @ Betano
Away6.63 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.70 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Besa Kavajë = 2.05 (league 1.30), Burreli = 0.69 (league 1.02)

Burreli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Besa Kavajë 0 6.5% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.3% 9.1% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.6% 9.4% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.3% 6.4% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.8% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.4% · Draw 19.4% · Away win 11.4%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1