Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 12:30 • Stadiumi Gjirokastra
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.35 (league 1.30) 1.66 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.2% 22.3% 69.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
22.3%
0 - 2
18.5%
0 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Pogradeci
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luftëtari 0 13.4% 22.3% 18.5% 10.3% 4.3% 1.4%
1 4.7% 7.7% 6.4% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5%
2 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLuftëtariPogradeci
Played55
Form13%73%
Attack38%75%
Defense13%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Luftëtari Pogradeci
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins0%13%6%50%50%50%
Draws38%63%50%25%38%31%
Loses63%25%44%25%13%19%

Form: Luftëtari: DDDDLWLDDLLDLLLD • Pogradeci: DDWLWLDWWWLWDDWW

League goals

Metric Luftëtari Pogradeci
HATHAT
GF total41014101020
GF avg0.51.30.91.31.31.3
GA total1012224711
GA avg1.31.51.40.50.90.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLuftëtariPogradeci
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%88%63%50%
1.513%44%44%13%
2.56%6%13%6%
3.50%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLuftëtariPogradeci
HATHAT
Clean sheets202628
Failed to score415336

Penalties

MetricLuftëtariPogradeci
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLuftëtariPogradeci
Wins13
Draws42
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-34-01-3
Biggest losses0-23-12-32-0
Goals For1343
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricLuftëtariPogradeci
Form15%85%
Att33%67%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution17%83%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total25.3%74.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Pogradeci and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home11.25 @ Marathonbet
Draw4.15 @ Superbet
Away1.60 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.56 @ Marathonbet
No1.60 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.73 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Luftëtari = 0.35 (league 1.30), Pogradeci = 1.66 (league 1.02)

Pogradeci
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luftëtari 0 13.4% 22.3% 18.5% 10.3% 4.3% 1.4%
1 4.7% 7.7% 6.4% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5%
2 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.2% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 69.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1