Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 12:30 •
Stadiumi Luz i Vogël
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.30)
1.42 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.5% | 25.6% | 39.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 1
9.3%
1 - 2
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Skenderbeu Korce | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Besa Kavajë | 0 | 6.5% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Besa Kavajë | Skenderbeu Korce |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 67% | 67% |
| Defense | 67% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Besa Kavajë | Skenderbeu Korce | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 44% | 22% | 33% | 78% | 67% | 72% |
| Draws | 44% | 22% | 33% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
| Loses | 11% | 56% | 33% | 11% | 22% | 17% |
Form: Besa Kavajë: DDLLDLDLWWDLWLWWWD • Skenderbeu Korce: WDWWWWWWLWWWWLLWWD
League goals
| Metric | Besa Kavajë | Skenderbeu Korce | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 8 | 10 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Besa Kavajë | Skenderbeu Korce | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 72% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 28% | 28% | 50% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 0% | 28% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Besa Kavajë | Skenderbeu Korce | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Besa Kavajë | Skenderbeu Korce |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Besa Kavajë | Skenderbeu Korce |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Besa Kavajë | Skenderbeu Korce |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 49.7% | 50.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Besa Kavajë or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Besa Kavajë = 1.31 (league 1.30), Skenderbeu Korce = 1.42 (league 1.02)
| Skenderbeu Korce | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Besa Kavajë | 0 | 6.5% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.5% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 39.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1