Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 12:30 • Stadiumi Loni Papuciu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.28) 1.79 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.8% 22.9% 58.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.6%
0 - 2
11.3%
1 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Pogradeci
0 1 2 3 4 5
Apolonia Fier 0 7.1% 12.6% 11.3% 6.7% 3.0% 1.1%
1 6.1% 10.9% 9.7% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 2.6% 4.7% 4.2% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.8% 1.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricApolonia FierPogradeci
Played55
Form7%87%
Attack0%100%
Defense0%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 012 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Apolonia Fier Pogradeci
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins30%30%30%50%60%55%
Draws30%20%25%30%30%30%
Loses40%50%45%20%10%15%

Form: Apolonia Fier: LDWWDDLWDLLWWWLLLLDL • Pogradeci: DDWLWLDWWWLWDDWWWDWW

League goals

Metric Apolonia Fier Pogradeci
HATHAT
GF total10717131730
GF avg1.00.70.91.31.71.5
GA total11102151116
GA avg1.11.01.10.51.10.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineApolonia FierPogradeci
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%60%65%55%
1.530%35%50%20%
2.50%10%25%5%
3.50%0%10%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricApolonia FierPogradeci
HATHAT
Clean sheets538729
Failed to score459437

Penalties

MetricApolonia FierPogradeci
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricApolonia FierPogradeci
Wins33
Draws22
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-24-02-4
Biggest losses0-32-02-32-0
Goals For2244
Goals Against3232

Model comparison

MetricApolonia FierPogradeci
Form7%93%
Att0%100%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total32.4%67.6%

Advice: Winner : Pogradeci

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.00 @ William Hill
Draw3.33 @ Pinnacle
Away1.93 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.39 @ Marathonbet
No1.57 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.53 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Apolonia Fier = 0.86 (league 1.28), Pogradeci = 1.79 (league 1.05)

Pogradeci
0 1 2 3 4 5
Apolonia Fier 0 7.1% 12.6% 11.3% 6.7% 3.0% 1.1%
1 6.1% 10.9% 9.7% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 2.6% 4.7% 4.2% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.8% 1.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.8% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 58.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1