1st Division
— Albania
Sun, Feb 15 2026 • 12:30 •
Stadiumi Gjorgji Kyçyku
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.36)
0.34 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.8% | 26.3% | 8.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
24.3%
2 - 0
17.5%
0 - 0
16.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Burreli | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pogradeci | 0 | 16.9% | 5.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.3% | 8.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.5% | 5.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.4% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pogradeci | Burreli |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 67% |
| Attack | 63% | 32% |
| Defense | 63% | 84% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
60%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pogradeci | Burreli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 50% | 55% | 52% | 45% | 30% | 38% |
| Draws | 30% | 36% | 33% | 27% | 30% | 29% |
| Loses | 20% | 9% | 14% | 27% | 40% | 33% |
PogradeciDDWLWLDWWWLWDDWWWDWWD
BurreliLWDWDLWLDDWLLWLDWWLWD
League goals
| Metric | Pogradeci | Burreli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 19 | 32 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 5 | 13 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 24 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pogradeci | Burreli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 57% | 62% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 52% | 24% | 29% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 5% | 0% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pogradeci | Burreli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pogradeci | Burreli |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pogradeci | Burreli |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-4 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 2-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pogradeci | Burreli |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 52% | 48% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 81% | 19% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 22% | 78% |
| Total | 45.3% | 54.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.40 @ Bet365
Draw4.30 @ Pinnacle
Away8.60 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.25 @ William Hill
No1.58 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.97 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
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