Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 17:00 • Arena Egnatia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.15) 0.62 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.1% 29.0% 17.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.0%
0 - 0
14.6%
2 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Tirana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0 14.6% 9.0% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.0% 11.8% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.4% 7.7% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.4% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEgnatia RrogozhinëTirana
Played33
Form44%22%
Attack18%18%
Defense73%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.72 | 0.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 14 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

4 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Egnatia Rrogozhinë Tirana
HATHAT
Played123123
Wins0%50%33%0%0%0%
Draws100%0%33%100%50%67%
Loses0%50%33%0%50%33%

Form: Egnatia Rrogozhinë: LDW • Tirana: DLD

League goals

Metric Egnatia Rrogozhinë Tirana
HATHAT
GF total112112
GF avg1.00.50.71.00.50.7
GA total123134
GA avg1.01.01.01.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEgnatia RrogozhinëTirana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%67%67%
1.50%33%0%33%
2.50%0%0%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEgnatia RrogozhinëTirana
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricEgnatia RrogozhinëTirana
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricEgnatia RrogozhinëTirana
Wins00
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-1
Biggest losses2-03-1
Goals For1111
Goals Against1213

Model comparison

MetricEgnatia RrogozhinëTirana
Form67%33%
Att50%50%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h62%38%
Goals58%42%
Total58.7%41.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Egnatia Rrogozhinë or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.04 @ Marathonbet
Away4.60 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.43 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ Marathonbet
No1.55 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Egnatia Rrogozhinë = 1.31 (league 1.15), Tirana = 0.62 (league 0.81)

Tirana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0 14.6% 9.0% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.0% 11.8% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.4% 7.7% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.4% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.1% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 17.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1