Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 15:00 • Arena Kombetare
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.26 (league 1.15) 1.30 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.3% 28.7% 63.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
27.3%
0 - 0
20.9%
0 - 2
17.8%
Score & goals probability table
Teuta Durrës
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tirana 0 20.9% 27.3% 17.8% 7.7% 2.5% 0.7%
1 5.5% 7.1% 4.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
2 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTiranaTeuta Durrës
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack75%50%
Defense0%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

41%
FT probability

2.5+

29%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

49%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tirana Teuta Durrës
HATHAT
Played246426
Wins0%25%17%50%0%33%
Draws50%25%33%50%100%67%
Loses50%50%50%0%0%0%

Form: Tirana: DLDLLW • Teuta Durrës: DDWDDW

League goals

Metric Tirana Teuta Durrës
HATHAT
GF total246404
GF avg1.01.01.01.00.00.7
GA total358202
GA avg1.51.31.30.50.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTiranaTeuta Durrës
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%67%33%
1.517%50%0%0%
2.517%17%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTiranaTeuta Durrës
HATHAT
Clean sheets022224
Failed to score022022

Penalties

MetricTiranaTeuta Durrës
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricTiranaTeuta Durrës
Wins01
Draws12
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-31-0
Biggest losses1-23-1
Goals For1310
Goals Against2310

Model comparison

MetricTiranaTeuta Durrës
Form31%69%
Att60%40%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h7%93%
Goals27%73%
Total29.0%71.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Teuta Durrës and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.24 @ 1xBet
Draw2.95 @ Pinnacle
Away3.40 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.84 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Marathonbet
No1.56 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tirana = 0.26 (league 1.15), Teuta Durrës = 1.30 (league 0.81)

Teuta Durrës
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tirana 0 20.9% 27.3% 17.8% 7.7% 2.5% 0.7%
1 5.5% 7.1% 4.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
2 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.3% · Draw 28.7% · Away win 63.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1