Superliga — Albania
Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 18:30 • Arena Kombetare
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.43 (league 1.13) 0.82 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.1% 39.6% 42.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.5%
0 - 1
23.4%
1 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
AF Elbasani
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tirana 0 28.5% 23.4% 9.6% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.3% 10.1% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 2.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTiranaAF Elbasani
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack38%31%
Defense46%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tirana AF Elbasani
HATHAT
Played358538
Wins0%20%13%60%33%50%
Draws67%20%38%20%33%25%
Loses33%60%50%20%33%25%

Form: Tirana: DLDLLWDL • AF Elbasani: WDWWDLLW

League goals

Metric Tirana AF Elbasani
HATHAT
GF total257527
GF avg0.71.00.91.00.70.9
GA total3811325
GA avg1.01.61.40.60.70.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTiranaAF Elbasani
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%63%75%50%
1.513%50%13%13%
2.513%25%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTiranaAF Elbasani
HATHAT
Clean sheets123314
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricTiranaAF Elbasani
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricTiranaAF Elbasani
Wins12
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-32-10-1
Biggest losses1-23-11-21-0
Goals For1321
Goals Against2321

Model comparison

MetricTiranaAF Elbasani
Form36%64%
Att56%44%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h33%67%
Goals44%56%
Total39.2%60.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or AF Elbasani and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.03 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ Superbet
Away2.83 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.57 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ William Hill
No1.82 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tirana = 0.43 (league 1.13), AF Elbasani = 0.82 (league 0.85)

AF Elbasani
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tirana 0 28.5% 23.4% 9.6% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.3% 10.1% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 2.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.1% · Draw 39.6% · Away win 42.2%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1