Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 16:00 •
Demrozi Stadium
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.16)
0.93 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.1% | 29.6% | 29.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
| AF Elbasani | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 0 | 12.2% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.3% | 13.3% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.4% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | AF Elbasani |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 53% |
| Attack | 41% | 29% |
| Defense | 82% | 76% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
57%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | AF Elbasani | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 56% | 67% | 61% | 56% | 44% | 50% |
| Draws | 33% | 11% | 22% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 11% | 22% | 17% | 11% | 22% | 17% |
Form: Egnatia Rrogozhinë: LDWWWWDDWDLWWLWWWW • AF Elbasani: WDWWDLLWWWWDDDWWLD
League goals
| Metric | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | AF Elbasani | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 8 | 23 | 8 | 11 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 6 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | AF Elbasani | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 50% | 78% | 44% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 11% | 17% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 0% | 6% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | AF Elbasani | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | AF Elbasani |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | AF Elbasani |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | AF Elbasani |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 54% | 46% |
| Total | 56.0% | 44.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Egnatia Rrogozhinë or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Egnatia Rrogozhinë = 1.17 (league 1.16), AF Elbasani = 0.93 (league 0.90)
| AF Elbasani | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 0 | 12.2% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.3% | 13.3% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.4% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.1% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 29.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1