Superliga — Albania
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 14:00 • Arena Kombetare
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.13) 2.02 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.9% 18.4% 72.0%
best score tips
0 - 2
16.6%
0 - 1
16.5%
0 - 3
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
AF Elbasani
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tirana 0 8.2% 16.5% 16.6% 11.2% 5.6% 2.3%
1 4.0% 8.0% 8.1% 5.4% 2.7% 1.1%
2 1.0% 2.0% 2.0% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTiranaAF Elbasani
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack23%62%
Defense46%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tirana AF Elbasani
HATHAT
Played121426141226
Wins8%21%15%57%33%46%
Draws33%36%35%36%42%38%
Loses58%43%50%7%25%15%

Form: Tirana: DLDLLWDLLLLDLLLDDDWDWWDLLL • AF Elbasani: WDWWDLLWWWWDDDWWLDDDWDWLWD

League goals

Metric Tirana AF Elbasani
HATHAT
GF total61420161632
GF avg0.51.00.81.11.31.2
GA total17234081321
GA avg1.41.61.50.61.10.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTiranaAF Elbasani
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%77%85%58%
1.58%42%31%19%
2.54%19%4%4%
3.50%8%4%0%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTiranaAF Elbasani
HATHAT
Clean sheets2467411
Failed to score639224

Penalties

MetricTiranaAF Elbasani
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricTiranaAF Elbasani
Wins24
Draws33
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-32-01-4
Biggest losses1-46-21-23-2
Goals For1324
Goals Against4623

Model comparison

MetricTiranaAF Elbasani
Form33%67%
Att27%73%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution19%81%
H2h25%75%
Goals36%64%
Total31.7%68.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AF Elbasani

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.85 @ Superbet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.65 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No1.88 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tirana = 0.49 (league 1.13), AF Elbasani = 2.02 (league 0.90)

AF Elbasani
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tirana 0 8.2% 16.5% 16.6% 11.2% 5.6% 2.3%
1 4.0% 8.0% 8.1% 5.4% 2.7% 1.1%
2 1.0% 2.0% 2.0% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.9% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 72.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1