Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 18:00 •
Elbasan Arena
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.13)
1.40 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.9% | 26.5% | 42.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 1
10.9%
1 - 0
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| AF Elbasani | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dinamo Tirana | 0 | 7.8% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Dinamo Tirana | AF Elbasani |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Attack | 20% | 60% |
| Defense | 50% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Dinamo Tirana | AF Elbasani | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 36% | 33% | 34% | 53% | 43% | 48% |
| Draws | 36% | 33% | 34% | 40% | 36% | 38% |
| Loses | 29% | 33% | 31% | 7% | 21% | 14% |
Form: Dinamo Tirana: WLLDWWDWWDLDDWWLWWDLLDDDLWLLD • AF Elbasani: WDWWDLLWWWWDDDWWLDDDWDWLWDWWD
League goals
| Metric | Dinamo Tirana | AF Elbasani | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 13 | 31 | 16 | 19 | 35 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 13 | 10 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 22 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Dinamo Tirana | AF Elbasani | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 48% | 62% | 83% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 34% | 17% | 31% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 0% | 3% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Dinamo Tirana | AF Elbasani | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 9 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Dinamo Tirana | AF Elbasani |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Dinamo Tirana | AF Elbasani |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-2 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 6 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Dinamo Tirana | AF Elbasani |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 36.3% | 63.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or AF Elbasani and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Dinamo Tirana = 1.15 (league 1.13), AF Elbasani = 1.40 (league 0.90)
| AF Elbasani | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dinamo Tirana | 0 | 7.8% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.9% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 42.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1