Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 14:00 •
Arena Kombetare
Expected Goals
0.43 (league 1.14)
1.07 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 14.7% | 33.9% | 51.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
23.9%
0 - 0
22.4%
0 - 2
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tirana | 0 | 22.4% | 23.9% | 12.8% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.6% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tirana | Egnatia Rrogozhinë |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 46% | 54% |
| Defense | 62% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tirana | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 20% | 20% | 20% | 53% | 47% | 50% |
| Draws | 27% | 40% | 33% | 33% | 27% | 30% |
| Loses | 53% | 40% | 47% | 13% | 27% | 20% |
Form: Tirana: DLDLLWDLLLLDLLLDDDWDWWDLLLLWWD • Egnatia Rrogozhinë: LDWWWWDDWDLWWLWWWWLDDLWDWLWDDW
League goals
| Metric | Tirana | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 15 | 25 | 25 | 12 | 37 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 18 | 24 | 42 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tirana | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 73% | 67% | 53% |
| 1.5 | 10% | 37% | 37% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 17% | 10% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tirana | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tirana | Egnatia Rrogozhinë |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tirana | Egnatia Rrogozhinë |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 5-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 6-2 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tirana | Egnatia Rrogozhinë |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 35.8% | 64.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Egnatia Rrogozhinë and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tirana = 0.43 (league 1.14), Egnatia Rrogozhinë = 1.07 (league 0.90)
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tirana | 0 | 22.4% | 23.9% | 12.8% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.6% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.7% · Draw 33.9% · Away win 51.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1