Mon, Sep 22 2025 • 16:00 • AEK Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.39 (league 1.54) 0.61 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.5% 46.1% 34.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
36.8%
0 - 1
22.5%
1 - 0
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
Aris
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEK Larnaca 0 36.8% 22.5% 6.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.3% 8.7% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAEK LarnacaAris
Played33
Form44%100%
Attack23%46%
Defense85%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 16 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.71 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AEK Larnaca Aris
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%0%33%100%100%100%
Draws0%50%33%0%0%0%
Loses0%50%33%0%0%0%

Form: AEK Larnaca: WDL • Aris: WWW

League goals

Metric AEK Larnaca Aris
HATHAT
GF total213516
GF avg2.00.51.02.51.02.0
GA total022101
GA avg0.01.00.70.50.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAEK LarnacaAris
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%100%33%
1.533%0%67%0%
2.50%0%33%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAEK LarnacaAris
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricAEK LarnacaAris
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAEK LarnacaAris
Wins13
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-03-10-1
Biggest losses1-0
Goals For2131
Goals Against0110

Model comparison

MetricAEK LarnacaAris
Form31%69%
Att33%67%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h62%38%
Goals63%38%
Total44.4%55.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Aris and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.56 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.27 @ Pinnacle
Away2.90 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.71 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Pinnacle
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AEK Larnaca = 0.39 (league 1.54), Aris = 0.61 (league 1.14)

Aris
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEK Larnaca 0 36.8% 22.5% 6.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.3% 8.7% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.5% · Draw 46.1% · Away win 34.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1