Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 16:00 • Alphamega Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.27 (league 1.53) 0.88 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.6% 10.6% 6.4%
best score tips
3 - 0
9.2%
2 - 0
8.5%
3 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Ethnikos Achna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aris 0 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.2% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.5% 7.4% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.2% 8.1% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.5% 6.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.9% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArisEthnikos Achna
Played44
Form75%67%
Attack44%33%
Defense78%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 26 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 13 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aris Ethnikos Achna
HATHAT
Played224314
Wins100%50%75%67%0%50%
Draws0%0%0%33%100%50%
Loses0%50%25%0%0%0%

Form: Aris: WWWL • Ethnikos Achna: DWDW

League goals

Metric Aris Ethnikos Achna
HATHAT
GF total538426
GF avg2.51.52.01.32.01.5
GA total134123
GA avg0.51.51.00.32.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArisEthnikos Achna
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%75%50%
1.575%25%75%25%
2.525%25%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArisEthnikos Achna
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricArisEthnikos Achna
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricArisEthnikos Achna
Wins31
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-12-0
Biggest losses3-2
Goals For3222
Goals Against1312

Model comparison

MetricArisEthnikos Achna
Form53%47%
Att57%43%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h100%0%
Goals78%22%
Total61.2%38.8%

Advice: Double chance : Aris or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.30 @ Bet365
Draw5.67 @ Pinnacle
Away9.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ Pinnacle
No1.84 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aris = 3.27 (league 1.53), Ethnikos Achna = 0.88 (league 1.14)

Ethnikos Achna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aris 0 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.2% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.5% 7.4% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.2% 8.1% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.5% 6.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.9% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.6% · Draw 10.6% · Away win 6.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1