1. Division — Cyprus
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 16:00 • Alphamega Stadium
Match Finished

AEL

0 - 2
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.53) 0.26 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.4% 17.1% 4.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.3%
2 - 0
20.9%
3 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Akritas
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEL 0 10.8% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.3% 5.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.9% 5.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.7% 3.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.7% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAELAkritas
Played44
Form33%33%
Attack21%5%
Defense53%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 11 | 0.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 2.37 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

4 - 7 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AEL Akritas
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%0%25%50%0%25%
Draws50%0%25%0%50%25%
Loses0%100%50%50%50%50%

Form: AEL: WLDL • Akritas: DWLL

League goals

Metric AEL Akritas
HATHAT
GF total404101
GF avg2.00.01.00.50.00.3
GA total279437
GA avg1.03.52.32.01.51.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAELAkritas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%25%50%
1.550%75%0%50%
2.50%25%0%50%
3.50%25%0%25%
4.50%25%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAELAkritas
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score022123

Penalties

MetricAELAkritas
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAELAkritas
Wins11
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—1-0—
Biggest losses—5-00-43-0
Goals For2010
Goals Against2543

Model comparison

MetricAELAkritas
Form50%50%
Att80%20%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h64%36%
Goals64%36%
Total60.4%39.6%

Advice: Double chance : AEL or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.68 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.13 @ Pinnacle
Away5.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AEL = 1.97 (league 1.53), Akritas = 0.26 (league 1.16)

Akritas
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEL 0 10.8% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.3% 5.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.9% 5.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.7% 3.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.7% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.4% · Draw 17.1% · Away win 4.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1