1. Division — Cyprus
Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 16:00 • Stelios Kyriakides Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.86 (league 1.49) 0.62 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.0% 11.5% 5.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.6%
3 - 0
12.0%
1 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Ethnikos Achna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pafos 0 3.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.8% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.6% 7.8% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.0% 7.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.6% 5.3% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.9% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPafosEthnikos Achna
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack79%50%
Defense71%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pafos Ethnikos Achna
HATHAT
Played336426
Wins67%100%83%75%0%50%
Draws0%0%0%25%50%33%
Loses33%0%17%0%50%17%

Form: Pafos: WLWWWW • Ethnikos Achna: DWDWLW

League goals

Metric Pafos Ethnikos Achna
HATHAT
GF total5712527
GF avg1.72.32.01.31.01.2
GA total224156
GA avg0.70.70.70.32.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePafosEthnikos Achna
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%50%67%50%
1.567%17%50%33%
2.533%0%0%17%
3.517%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPafosEthnikos Achna
HATHAT
Clean sheets123303
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricPafosEthnikos Achna
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPafosEthnikos Achna
Wins11
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-42-0—
Biggest losses0-1——3-0
Goals For3422
Goals Against1213

Model comparison

MetricPafosEthnikos Achna
Form55%45%
Att61%39%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h93%7%
Goals73%27%
Total71.2%28.8%

Advice: Winner : Pafos

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Bet365
Draw5.95 @ Pinnacle
Away10.20 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.16 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ Pinnacle
No1.77 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Pafos = 2.86 (league 1.49), Ethnikos Achna = 0.62 (league 1.13)

Ethnikos Achna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pafos 0 3.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.8% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.6% 7.8% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.0% 7.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.6% 5.3% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.9% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.0% · Draw 11.5% · Away win 5.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1