Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 16:00 • Alphamega Stadium
Match Finished
4 - 0

AEL

Expected Goals
6.12 (league 1.54) 0.34 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.9% 0.7% 0.2%
best score tips
5 - 0
11.2%
4 - 0
9.1%
3 - 0
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
AEL
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aris 0 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.0% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.1% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.2% 3.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArisAEL
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack73%55%
Defense73%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.612 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aris AEL
HATHAT
Played336426
Wins100%33%67%50%0%33%
Draws0%33%17%25%0%17%
Loses0%33%17%25%100%50%

Form: Aris: WWWLWD • AEL: WLDLLW

League goals

Metric Aris AEL
HATHAT
GF total8311808
GF avg2.71.01.82.00.01.3
GA total1345712
GA avg0.31.00.71.33.52.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArisAEL
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%33%50%83%
1.567%17%50%67%
2.533%17%17%17%
3.50%0%17%17%
4.50%0%0%17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArisAEL
HATHAT
Clean sheets224101
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricArisAEL
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricArisAEL
Wins31
Draws01
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-14-1
Biggest losses3-20-25-0
Goals For3240
Goals Against1325

Model comparison

MetricArisAEL
Form71%29%
Att57%43%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h93%7%
Goals100%0%
Total75.3%24.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Aris and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.36 @ Bet365
Draw5.60 @ Unibet
Away9.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Betano
Under 2.52.45 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Unibet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aris = 6.12 (league 1.54), AEL = 0.34 (league 1.14)

AEL
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aris 0 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.0% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.1% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.2% 3.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.9% · Draw 0.7% · Away win 0.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1