1. Division — Cyprus
Mon, Oct 27 2025 • 17:00 • AEK Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.46 (league 1.50) 5.27 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.5% 1.7% 54.6%
best score tips
0 - 5
11.0%
0 - 4
10.5%
0 - 3
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Apoel Nicosia
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEK Larnaca 0 0.3% 1.7% 4.5% 7.9% 10.5% 11.0%
1 0.1% 0.8% 2.1% 3.6% 4.8% 5.1%
2 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 1.1% 1.2%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAEK LarnacaApoel Nicosia
Played55
Form60%87%
Attack79%100%
Defense50%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.214 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AEK Larnaca Apoel Nicosia
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins67%50%57%33%100%71%
Draws0%25%14%33%0%14%
Loses33%25%29%33%0%14%

Form: AEK Larnaca: WDLWWLW • Apoel Nicosia: WLWWWWD

League goals

Metric AEK Larnaca Apoel Nicosia
HATHAT
GF total771441216
GF avg2.31.82.01.33.02.3
GA total628314
GA avg2.00.51.11.00.30.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAEK LarnacaApoel Nicosia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%57%86%43%
1.571%29%86%14%
2.529%14%29%0%
3.514%14%29%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAEK LarnacaApoel Nicosia
HATHAT
Clean sheets123134
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricAEK LarnacaApoel Nicosia
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricAEK LarnacaApoel Nicosia
Wins24
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-42-00-4
Biggest losses2-41-00-1—
Goals For3424
Goals Against4121

Model comparison

MetricAEK LarnacaApoel Nicosia
Form41%59%
Att44%56%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution7%93%
H2h93%7%
Goals88%13%
Total49.2%51.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Apoel Nicosia and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.31 @ Pinnacle
Away3.25 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ 188Bet
No1.90 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AEK Larnaca = 0.46 (league 1.50), Apoel Nicosia = 5.27 (league 1.14)

Apoel Nicosia
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEK Larnaca 0 0.3% 1.7% 4.5% 7.9% 10.5% 11.0%
1 0.1% 0.8% 2.1% 3.6% 4.8% 5.1%
2 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 1.1% 1.2%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.5% · Draw 1.7% · Away win 54.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1