1. Division — Cyprus
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 17:00 • Alphamega Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.42 (league 1.55) 1.56 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.7% 24.5% 65.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
21.6%
0 - 2
16.8%
0 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
AEK Larnaca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Apollon Limassol 0 13.9% 21.6% 16.8% 8.7% 3.4% 1.1%
1 5.8% 9.0% 7.0% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4%
2 1.2% 1.9% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricApollon LimassolAEK Larnaca
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack53%80%
Defense73%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Apollon Limassol AEK Larnaca
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins67%40%50%50%50%50%
Draws0%20%13%25%25%25%
Loses33%40%38%25%25%25%

Form: Apollon Limassol: LLWWLWWD • AEK Larnaca: WDLWWLWD

League goals

Metric Apollon Limassol AEK Larnaca
HATHAT
GF total46108715
GF avg1.31.21.32.01.81.9
GA total3710729
GA avg1.01.41.31.80.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineApollon LimassolAEK Larnaca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%88%63%
1.538%50%63%25%
2.513%25%25%13%
3.50%0%13%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricApollon LimassolAEK Larnaca
HATHAT
Clean sheets224123
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricApollon LimassolAEK Larnaca
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricApollon LimassolAEK Larnaca
Wins22
Draws01
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-00-4
Biggest losses0-33-12-41-0
Goals For3234
Goals Against3341

Model comparison

MetricApollon LimassolAEK Larnaca
Form50%50%
Att40%60%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h29%71%
Goals27%73%
Total38.8%61.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AEK Larnaca

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.04 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.58 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ Pinnacle
No1.87 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Apollon Limassol = 0.42 (league 1.55), AEK Larnaca = 1.56 (league 1.16)

AEK Larnaca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Apollon Limassol 0 13.9% 21.6% 16.8% 8.7% 3.4% 1.1%
1 5.8% 9.0% 7.0% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4%
2 1.2% 1.9% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.7% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 65.3%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1