1. Division — Cyprus
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 17:00 • Stelios Kyriakides Stadium
Match Finished
1 - 0

AEL

Expected Goals
5.49 (league 1.55) 0.48 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.2% 1.5% 0.4%
best score tips
5 - 0
10.7%
4 - 0
9.7%
3 - 0
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
AEL
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pafos 0 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.1% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.7% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 10.7% 5.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPafosAEL
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack93%33%
Defense67%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pafos AEL
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins75%75%75%60%0%38%
Draws0%0%0%20%0%13%
Loses25%25%25%20%100%50%

Form: Pafos: WLWWWWWL • AEL: WLDLLWLW

League goals

Metric Pafos AEL
HATHAT
GF total9817909
GF avg2.32.02.11.80.01.1
GA total24651116
GA avg0.51.00.81.03.72.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePafosAEL
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%50%50%75%
1.563%25%38%63%
2.538%0%13%25%
3.525%0%13%25%
4.50%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPafosAEL
HATHAT
Clean sheets224202
Failed to score101134

Penalties

MetricPafosAEL
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricPafosAEL
Wins51
Draws01
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-44-1—
Biggest losses0-12-10-25-0
Goals For4440
Goals Against1225

Model comparison

MetricPafosAEL
Form67%33%
Att74%26%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h100%0%
Goals81%19%
Total73.3%26.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Pafos and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.38 @ 188Bet
Draw5.16 @ Pinnacle
Away8.52 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ Pinnacle
No1.83 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pafos = 5.49 (league 1.55), AEL = 0.48 (league 1.16)

AEL
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pafos 0 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.1% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.7% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 10.7% 5.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.2% · Draw 1.5% · Away win 0.4%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1